The Mispricing Desk

Where price, positioning, and catalyst disagree.

561 notes on the gaps between what markets price and what they miss.

Recent Notes

2026-07-16 · 2026-07 / week-3

Smith Micro Prices Software Recovery, Not the Resale Supply

Smith Micro Software Nasdaq: SMSI is a real software company with carrier and device-management products. It is also a company whose latest financing documents register potential common-equivalent supply equal to roughly...

2026-07-16 · 2026-07 / week-3

UMAC Prices Drone Growth, Not the $17 Offering Anchor

Unusual Machines UMAC sold 8,823,529 common shares at $17.00 in a March 2026 registered offering. The latest available Yahoo Finance chart close is $18.52 on July 15, 2026, or 8.9% above that financing anchor. The short ...

2026-07-15 · 2026-07 / week-3

Newborn Town Prices an AI Label, Not the Profit Engine

The screen was restricted to long, low- and mid-cap names in Japan, Korea, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Singapore. Newborn Town HKEX: 9911 ranked first because it combines fresh operating evidence, a live share-cancellation me...

2026-07-15 · 2026-07 / week-3

Aethlon Medical Prices Clinical Optionality, Not 237% New Supply

Why this one now: The filing is recent, the package price is explicit, and the denominator change is unusually large. The market may still be trading the therapeutic narrative as though the common were a scarce claim, wh...

2026-07-15 · 2026-07 / week-3

EWY Prices Liquidation, Not a Clean Memory Peak

Summary: Korea’s KOSPI fell 8.95% to 6,806.93 on 13 July 2026, while the iShares MSCI South Korea ETF EWY was $176.98 at 15 July 2026 00:15 UTC, up 5.3% on the latest print. The market is treating the semiconductor-heavy...

2026-07-14 · 2026-07 / week-3

EquipmentShare Prices the Debt, Not the Guidance

EquipmentShare.com Inc. NASDAQ: EQPT is a newly public, fast-growing equipment-rental and connected-jobsite company. On July 9, the company raised its 2026 outlook and authorized a $500 million Class A share-repurchase p...

2026-07-14 · 2026-07 / week-3

GIPR Prices a Reverse Split, Not the Share Supply

Generation Income Properties GIPR is a U.S. short setup where a reverse split improved the displayed price while leaving the financing overhang intact. Its July 10 prospectus supplement registered 1.775 million common sh...

2026-07-12 · 2026-07 / week-2

Hong Pu Prices Ex-Dividend Failure, Not the First Buyback

Why this one now: the market is treating Hong Pu like a property stock that failed its ex-dividend test. The filing tape now says something narrower: a TWD 6.506bn market-cap company at roughly 0.55x book has authorized ...

2026-07-12 · 2026-07 / week-2

Brait Prices Dilution, Not the Unlock Clock

Summary: Brait PLC JSE:BAT closed at R2.07 on 10 July 2026 at 17:00 SAST, against a reported R3.27 NAV per share and a proposed R1.51 rights-offer price. The market is treating the rights issue as another dilution event ...

2026-07-12 · 2026-07 / week-2

Value Convergence Prices Funding, Not Franchise

Scope note: this run is explicitly limited to low/mid-cap short opportunities across Japan, Korea, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Singapore. I scanned the current articles/2026-07/week-2/ folder, ran a repo-wide ticker and headl...

2026-07-10 · 2026-07 / week-2

Dida Prices the Condition, Not the Cash Stack

Scope note: this run was explicitly limited to long ideas in Japan, Korea, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Singapore low/mid caps. I scanned the current target folder articles/2026-07/week-2/, then ran repo-wide title, slug, and ...

2026-07-09 · 2026-07 / week-2

Shinyoung Prices the Law Deadline, Not the Share Shrink

Shinyoung Securities 001720.KRX is not a tiny special situation. It is a quiet Korean mid-cap broker with an unusually large treasury-share block, a fresh Value-Up filing, and a cancellation plan that looks too mechanica...

2026-07-09 · 2026-07 / week-2

Rivian Prices R2 Hope, Not the $15.50 Supply Line

Scope note: this run is explicitly limited to U.S. market short opportunities. I scanned articles/2026-07/week-2/, ran a repo-wide RIVN and headline check, and reviewed the mispricing-us-short automation memory before se...

2026-07-08 · 2026-07 / week-2

Neurogene Prices Rett Data, Not the Offering Anchor

Scope note: this run is explicitly limited to U.S. market short opportunities. I scanned articles/2026-07/week-2/, ran a repo-wide ticker and headline check, and reviewed the mispricing-us-short automation memory before ...

2026-07-08 · 2026-07 / week-2

Mgame Prices Franchise Fatigue, Not Double Cancellation

Scope note: this run was explicitly limited to long ideas in Japan, Korea, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Singapore low/mid caps. I scanned articles/2026-07/week-2/, ran a repo-wide duplicate check, and excluded recent primary t...

2026-07-08 · 2026-07 / week-2

Enliven Prices Phase 3, Not the Offering Anchor

Scope note: this run is explicitly limited to U.S. market short opportunities. I scanned articles/2026-07/week-2/, ran a repo-wide ticker and headline check, and reviewed the mispricing-us-short automation memory before ...