The Mispricing Desk

Where price, positioning, and catalyst disagree.

990 notes on the gaps between what markets price and what they miss.

Recent Notes

2026-10-08 · 2026-10 / week-2

LEVI’s Tariff-Aided Q3 Beat Does Not Bound a Short

Summary: Levi Strauss beat adjusted-EPS expectations, missed revenue consensus slightly, and raised its full-year profit outlook after a quarter whose reported margin expansion was heavily helped by tariff refunds. The $...

2026-10-08 · 2026-10 / week-2

RELL’s Backlog Growth Is Not a 10/5 Short Setup

Summary: Richardson Electronics reported 18.9% year-over-year sales growth, $4.1 million of net income, $4.2 million of free cash flow and a 36.9% backlog increase. Part of its gross-margin expansion reflected a temporar...

2026-10-07 · 2026-10 / week-1

TRMD’s Final Seller Block Adds Supply, Not a Bounded Short

Summary: TORM’s remaining 6.33 million shares held by OCM Njord were priced for resale at an implied $40.05 per share, and TRMD then closed at $39.05 on unusually high volume. The transaction is a real near-term supply e...

2026-10-07 · 2026-10 / week-1

APOG’s Earnings Rally Does Not Yet Support a Bounded Short

Summary: Apogee’s fiscal Q2 report lifted adjusted EPS guidance, and the shares closed 18.2% higher on Oct. 6. The reported sales increase includes a $16.4 million Kalwall contribution, while volume and several legacy-se...

2026-10-07 · 2026-10 / week-1

Option Care’s $32.05 deal leaves no 10/5 long after the gap

Summary: CD&R and McKesson’s signed $32.05-per-share cash agreement puts a hard ceiling on OPCH’s current deal payoff. At the latest timestamped regular-session reference reviewed, $31.05 at 11:53 a.m. EDT on Oct. 6, the...

2026-10-06 · 2026-10 / week-1

SPHR’s Oz Downgrade Drop Does Not Bound a Short

Summary: Sphere Entertainment fell 13.6% on Oct. 5 after a media summary attributed the move to Craig-Hallum’s downgrade and concern that The Wizard of Oz demand was fading faster than expected. The company’s latest prim...

2026-10-06 · 2026-10 / week-1

CHRW’s RXO Terms Raise the Capital Bill, Not a Bounded Short

Summary: C.H. Robinson’s agreement to acquire RXO brings an estimated 14.1 million new CHRW shares on the standard mixed-consideration basis, before awards and later share-count changes, and funds a large cash leg with c...

2026-10-06 · 2026-10 / week-1

PTC’s fixed $205 offer leaves too little upside for a long

Summary: Schneider Electric’s signed all-cash offer caps PTC common-stock consideration at $205, while the latest timestamped Oct. 5 trade reference reviewed was $193.01. That is only 6.2% gross upside, with no interest,...

2026-10-06 · 2026-10 / week-1

SAFX’s Merger Vote Does Not Yet Bound the Share-Supply Risk

Summary: XCF Global’s Oct. 5 special meeting covers a proposed authorization increase to 1.7 billion shares and approval for potential merger consideration equal to at least 19.99% of issued common. Neither a vote nor an...

2026-10-05 · 2026-10 / week-1

DRCT’s Nasdaq Suspension Is Not a Bounded Short

Summary: Direct Digital’s Nasdaq suspension is scheduled for this morning after the company failed the exchange’s stockholders’ equity standard. The issuer says it expects OTC Pink quotation, and an Oct. 1 credit amendme...

2026-10-05 · 2026-10 / week-1

Celcuity has a launch, not yet a revenue bridge

Summary: Celcuity says REVTORPYK became commercially available in the U.S. on Sep. 30, but availability is not reported shipments, payer access, net price, or collected revenue. The stock closed at $72.10 on Oct. 2, down...