The Mispricing Desk

Where price, positioning, and catalyst disagree.

569 notes on the gaps between what markets price and what they miss.

Recent Notes

2026-07-19 · 2026-07 / week-3

JAST Prices Growth as Ordinary, Not an 8.06% Supply Reset

Why this one now: the market has a rare combination of a large, explicit capital-return mandate and a profitable operating base. The company authorised up to 2,000,000 shares, 8.06% of ex-treasury shares, for up to JPY 2...

2026-07-19 · 2026-07 / week-3

TSM Prices Capex Fear, Not the AI Demand Curve

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company’s U.S.-listed ADR NYSE: TSM closed at $398.37 on July 17, 2026, 23:58 UTC, down 2.9% on the session. The decline arrived two days after a record quarter, a higher 2026 growth ou...

2026-07-18 · 2026-07 / week-3

Geo Energy Prices Coal, Not the Infrastructure Option

Why this one now: Geo has two different clocks. The first is visible today: the company bought 637,500 shares in the market on 7 July at an average S$0.519 and says more buybacks are intended. The second is contractual b...

2026-07-16 · 2026-07 / week-3

Smith Micro Prices Software Recovery, Not the Resale Supply

Smith Micro Software Nasdaq: SMSI is a real software company with carrier and device-management products. It is also a company whose latest financing documents register potential common-equivalent supply equal to roughly...

2026-07-16 · 2026-07 / week-3

UMAC Prices Drone Growth, Not the $17 Offering Anchor

Unusual Machines UMAC sold 8,823,529 common shares at $17.00 in a March 2026 registered offering. The latest available Yahoo Finance chart close is $18.52 on July 15, 2026, or 8.9% above that financing anchor. The short ...

2026-07-15 · 2026-07 / week-3

Newborn Town Prices an AI Label, Not the Profit Engine

The screen was restricted to long, low- and mid-cap names in Japan, Korea, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Singapore. Newborn Town HKEX: 9911 ranked first because it combines fresh operating evidence, a live share-cancellation me...

2026-07-15 · 2026-07 / week-3

Aethlon Medical Prices Clinical Optionality, Not 237% New Supply

Why this one now: The filing is recent, the package price is explicit, and the denominator change is unusually large. The market may still be trading the therapeutic narrative as though the common were a scarce claim, wh...

2026-07-15 · 2026-07 / week-3

EWY Prices Liquidation, Not a Clean Memory Peak

Summary: Korea’s KOSPI fell 8.95% to 6,806.93 on 13 July 2026, while the iShares MSCI South Korea ETF EWY was $176.98 at 15 July 2026 00:15 UTC, up 5.3% on the latest print. The market is treating the semiconductor-heavy...

2026-07-14 · 2026-07 / week-3

EquipmentShare Prices the Debt, Not the Guidance

EquipmentShare.com Inc. NASDAQ: EQPT is a newly public, fast-growing equipment-rental and connected-jobsite company. On July 9, the company raised its 2026 outlook and authorized a $500 million Class A share-repurchase p...

2026-07-14 · 2026-07 / week-3

GIPR Prices a Reverse Split, Not the Share Supply

Generation Income Properties GIPR is a U.S. short setup where a reverse split improved the displayed price while leaving the financing overhang intact. Its July 10 prospectus supplement registered 1.775 million common sh...

2026-07-12 · 2026-07 / week-2

Hong Pu Prices Ex-Dividend Failure, Not the First Buyback

Why this one now: the market is treating Hong Pu like a property stock that failed its ex-dividend test. The filing tape now says something narrower: a TWD 6.506bn market-cap company at roughly 0.55x book has authorized ...