The Mispricing Desk

Where price, positioning, and catalyst disagree.

575 notes on the gaps between what markets price and what they miss.

Recent Notes

2026-07-21 · 2026-07 / week-4

Chicony Prices the PC Cycle, Not the Cancellation Math

Scope: one long idea from the requested Japan, Korea, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Singapore low/mid-cap screen. Discovery used local-language searches including 台股 中小型 庫藏股 買回 註銷, 자사주 소각 저평가 코스닥, 股份回購 注銷 港股, 自己株式取得 消却 低PBR, an...

2026-07-21 · 2026-07 / week-4

MicroVision Prices Lidar Promise, Not the Share Supply

Summary: MicroVision NASDAQ: MVIS traded at $0.3252 at 14:13 UTC on July 21, 2026, or 22:13 Singapore time, with an indicated market capitalization of about $100.4 million. The short case is mechanical, not technological...

2026-07-20 · 2026-07 / week-4

Pan Asia Prices Execution Risk, Not the Cash Return

Pan Asia Environmental Protection Group 0556.HK is a Hong Kong small-cap environmental-equipment company whose balance sheet is mostly cash, whose board has declared a second special-dividend tranche, and whose stated 20...

2026-07-19 · 2026-07 / week-3

JAST Prices Growth as Ordinary, Not an 8.06% Supply Reset

Why this one now: the market has a rare combination of a large, explicit capital-return mandate and a profitable operating base. The company authorised up to 2,000,000 shares, 8.06% of ex-treasury shares, for up to JPY 2...

2026-07-19 · 2026-07 / week-3

TSM Prices Capex Fear, Not the AI Demand Curve

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company’s U.S.-listed ADR NYSE: TSM closed at $398.37 on July 17, 2026, 23:58 UTC, down 2.9% on the session. The decline arrived two days after a record quarter, a higher 2026 growth ou...

2026-07-18 · 2026-07 / week-3

Geo Energy Prices Coal, Not the Infrastructure Option

Why this one now: Geo has two different clocks. The first is visible today: the company bought 637,500 shares in the market on 7 July at an average S$0.519 and says more buybacks are intended. The second is contractual b...

2026-07-16 · 2026-07 / week-3

Smith Micro Prices Software Recovery, Not the Resale Supply

Smith Micro Software Nasdaq: SMSI is a real software company with carrier and device-management products. It is also a company whose latest financing documents register potential common-equivalent supply equal to roughly...

2026-07-16 · 2026-07 / week-3

UMAC Prices Drone Growth, Not the $17 Offering Anchor

Unusual Machines UMAC sold 8,823,529 common shares at $17.00 in a March 2026 registered offering. The latest available Yahoo Finance chart close is $18.52 on July 15, 2026, or 8.9% above that financing anchor. The short ...