The Mispricing Desk

Where price, positioning, and catalyst disagree.

596 notes on the gaps between what markets price and what they miss.

Recent Notes

2026-07-29 · 2026-07 / week-5

Carrier Prices Margin Panic, Not the Order Book

Why this one now: It has the cleanest fresh price shock and the most immediate evidence that the operating order book is improving. The market may be treating a margin reset and portfolio exits as if demand had broken. T...

2026-07-27 · 2026-07 / week-4

DFNS Prices a Defense Story, Not the Resale Supply

Why this one now: the price move is current, the resale document is primary-source evidence, and the reverse split changes the display price without removing the claims on equity.

2026-07-26 · 2026-07 / week-4

ASIRO Prices the Growth Pause, Not the Share Cancellation

Summary: ASIRO's planned July 31 cancellation removes 4.20% of the issued share base, but the stronger disagreement is between a price near a one-year low and a still-intact medium-term growth plan. This is a Watchlist, ...

2026-07-26 · 2026-07 / week-4

Delta-Fly Prices Drug Optionality, Not the EVO Supply Stack

Delta-Fly Pharma disclosed on 22 July that it would issue ¥150 million of zero-coupon unsecured bonds and 100,000 Series 12 warrants to EVO FUND. The warrants represent 10,000,000 potential shares, with a ¥127 initial ex...

2026-07-25 · 2026-07 / week-4

Gamania Prices Game Fatigue, Not the AI Option

Gamania Digital Entertainment 6180.TW is a low/mid-cap Taiwan listing with a live but modest treasury-share programme and an operating result that has already turned from loss to profit. The market still treats the compa...

2026-07-24 · 2026-07 / week-4

Samil Prices Freight Weakness, Not a 5% Denominator Test

Samil 032280.KQ is a Korean small-cap transport company whose board approved a KRW 1.0bn direct market buyback on 20 July. The programme covers 834,724 shares from 21 July to 20 October 2026. At the KRW 1,198 reference c...

2026-07-24 · 2026-07 / week-4

Teledyne Prices an Industrial Premium, Not an Earnings Break

Summary: Teledyne Technologies NYSE: TDY delivered record second-quarter orders, sales and operating profit, raised FY2026 EPS guidance, generated $284.7 million of free cash flow and repaid $450 million of debt. At the ...

2026-07-23 · 2026-07 / week-4

CDT Prices a Reverse Split, Not Equity Repair

Summary: CDT Equity’s 1-for-10 reverse split changed the display price and listing clock. It did not remove the company’s financing need, recent filing delay, convertible debt, or potential share-supply path. The short t...

2026-07-23 · 2026-07 / week-4

Webcash Prices Buyback Mechanics, Not Cheap Software

Webcash 012030.KQ is a Korean small-cap software and financial-data company with a fresh capital-return event, but the market has not yet supplied a clean same-session quote in the accessible record. This is a Long Watch...

2026-07-23 · 2026-07 / week-4

Qualcomm Prices a Memory Shock, Not an Earnings Reset

Summary: Qualcomm’s latest filing does not describe a broken franchise. It describes a handset inventory and memory-supply trough, with Q3 guidance absorbing the damage and management expecting China QCT shipments to bot...